Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000938 1.076003e-03 0.001215 0.001364 0.001520 0.001678 0.001848
2026-01-04 0.000728 9.259126e-04 0.001132 0.001361 0.001604 0.001855 0.002131
2026-01-11 0.000552 7.912982e-04 0.001049 0.001342 0.001661 0.001995 0.002367
2026-01-18 0.000414 6.803351e-04 0.000980 0.001329 0.001716 0.002127 0.002590
2026-01-25 0.000272 5.472592e-04 0.000873 0.001265 0.001709 0.002186 0.002729
2026-02-01 0.000178 4.570021e-04 0.000807 0.001239 0.001738 0.002280 0.002903
2026-02-08 0.000116 3.955814e-04 0.000768 0.001241 0.001794 0.002401 0.003102
2026-02-15 0.000071 3.485124e-04 0.000742 0.001254 0.001860 0.002530 0.003308
2026-02-22 0.000040 3.135644e-04 0.000728 0.001278 0.001936 0.002669 0.003523
2026-03-01 0.000011 2.634158e-04 0.000688 0.001268 0.001970 0.002758 0.003681
2026-03-08 NaN 2.073107e-04 0.000634 0.001235 0.001976 0.002812 0.003798
2026-03-15 NaN 1.779828e-04 0.000614 0.001245 0.002029 0.002920 0.003973
2026-03-22 NaN 1.199250e-04 0.000553 0.001214 0.002050 0.003010 0.004152
2026-03-29 NaN 8.272266e-05 0.000519 0.001215 0.002112 0.003149 0.004388
2026-04-05 NaN 4.673972e-05 0.000474 0.001201 0.002153 0.003264 0.004598
2026-04-12 NaN 2.045196e-05 0.000435 0.001190 0.002198 0.003382 0.004811
2026-04-19 NaN 1.637770e-08 0.000365 0.001130 0.002178 0.003422 0.004933
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000323 0.001107 0.002201 0.003512 0.005111
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000299 0.001109 0.002256 0.003639 0.005330
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000283 0.001122 0.002324 0.003779 0.005564
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000275 0.001145 0.002405 0.003934 0.005813
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000248 0.001135 0.002441 0.004034 0.005998
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000211 0.001104 0.002446 0.004097 0.006138